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green = Mandisa, maroon = Phillip, lt blue = Carrie, dk green = Kelly
Another week has passed and now Mandisa's "Overcomer" is the only American Idol album remaining in the BillBoard Top 100 at #92 (falling from #72). The three other Idol winners with albums in the Top 200 were all released in 2012, and now all of them have fallen out of the Top 100. This marks the first week Phillip Phillip's "The World From the Side of the Moon" has fallen out of the Top 100 after 45 weeks, at #117 (from #87 last week), but he is actually re-releasing a "special" edition of the album in November with three live tracks, which will also be available as an EP. That should give him a new sales boost in November, at least from his fans. Carrie Underwood's "Blown Away" has slipped to #127 for its second trip out of the Top 100 in 74 weeks. And Kelly Clarkson's "Greatest Hits: Chapter One" album hangs in the Top 200 at #171 (from #164 last week.) Frankly I am amazed Kelly's album has lasted on the chart that long since its release back in the Holiday Season of 2012. Having a greatest hits album stay in the Top 200 for two holiday seasons is pretty incredible. I will be interested to see if it can stay in the Top 200 before her new Christmas album, "Wrapped in Red", is released at the end of this month.

With all the Idol albums slipping on the charts, the next Idol album is fast approaching, Scotty McCreery's "See You Tonight" in about 10 days. Since his second album was actually a Christmas album, this should be considered his official "sophomore studio" album, and that means we can compare its sales with the other sophomore studio albums from previous winners. First I must sort the list of those albums to see how they stack up:

1) Kelly Clarkson "Breakaway" (2004) 6.3M
2) Carrie Underwood "Carnival Ride" (2007) 3.3M
3) Fantasia Barrino "Fantasia" (2006) 530K
4) Ruben Studdard "I Need An Angel" (2004) 483K
5) Jordin Sparks "Battlefield" (2009) 177K
6) David Cook "This Loud Morning" (2011) 130K
7) Taylor Hicks "The Distance" (2009) 52K
8) Kris Allen "Thank You Camellia" (2012) 35K
9) Lee DeWyze "Frames" (2013) 3K*first week numbers

Of the winners second albums, only Kelly and Carrie had huge, platinum hit albums with them, and Fantasia and Ruben also had very strong sales with their sophomore releases. None of the other winners have broken more than 200K with the sales of their second studio albums. (I am disregarding non-winners like Clay Aiken, Daughtry, Kellie Pickler and Jennifer Hudson who all had strong selling second albums.) Frankly, Scotty's holiday collection, "Christmas With Scotty McCreery" sold well enough to be #5 in my above list, which bodes very well for his new collection of much better written material. I am guessing it should sell better than the Christmas album, and being the third October release for Scotty in three years it should comfortably sell well throughout the holiday season, if it is promoted as well (or better) than CWSM or CAD. Since UMG Nashville actually knows Scotty has a good track record selling albums they will likely get behind him and promote him well.
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Friday, October 4, 2013

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