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style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">JIHAD IN SYRIA: THE PENETRATION OF RADICAL ISLAM IN THE SYRIAN CONFLICT</span></b></span></span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-outline-level: 1;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";"> </span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";"> </span></div><div class="MsoNormalCxSpMiddle" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in; mso-add-space: auto; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-pagination: none; tab-stops: 28.0pt 56.0pt 84.0pt 112.0pt 140.0pt 168.0pt 196.0pt 224.0pt 3.5in 280.0pt 308.0pt 336.0pt; text-align: justify;"><a href="http://www.blogger.com/null" name="OLE_LINK12"></a><a href="http://www.blogger.com/null" name="OLE_LINK11"></a><a href="http://www.blogger.com/null" name="OLE_LINK10"></a><span style="color: #cc0000;"><span style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK12;"><span style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK11;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: Cambria;">Recent reports of dozens of KUWAITI jihadists traveling to fight in the SYRIAN</span></b></span></span></span><span style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK12;"><span style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK11;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold; mso-fareast-font-family: Cambria;"> conflict further highlight the stronger foothold radical Islamic groups are gaining in </span></span></span><span style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK12;"><span style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK11;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">SYRIA. Since January 2012,</span></span></span><span style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK12;"><span style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK11;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";"> SYRIA has been transformed into a major battleground of the jihad world, with a number of foreign and SYRIAN jihadist groups surfacing to participate in the conflict. This development not only poses a serious threat to the present SYRIAN government or any government that may follow, but also <span style="mso-bidi-font-weight: bold;">threatens the armed opposition in SYRIA, headed by the Free SYRIAN Army (FSA).</span></span></span></span></div><div class="MsoNormalCxSpMiddle" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in; mso-add-space: auto; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-pagination: none; tab-stops: 28.0pt 56.0pt 84.0pt 112.0pt 140.0pt 168.0pt 196.0pt 224.0pt 3.5in 280.0pt 308.0pt 336.0pt; text-align: justify;"><br /></div><div class="MsoNormalCxSpMiddle" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in; mso-add-space: auto; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-pagination: none; tab-stops: 28.0pt 56.0pt 84.0pt 112.0pt 140.0pt 168.0pt 196.0pt 224.0pt 3.5in 280.0pt 308.0pt 336.0pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK12;"><span style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK11;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">At present, at least ten different notable foreign and SYRIAN groups with varying ideologies are waging militant jihad in SYRIA. In spite of these differences, a useful distinction becomes apparent when comparing each group’s mode of operation, which can be categorized as one of three types: </span></span></span></div><div class="MsoNormalCxSpMiddle" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in; mso-add-space: auto; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-pagination: none; tab-stops: 28.0pt 56.0pt 84.0pt 112.0pt 140.0pt 168.0pt 196.0pt 224.0pt 3.5in 280.0pt 308.0pt 336.0pt; text-align: justify;"><br /></div><div class="MsoNormalCxSpMiddle" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in; margin-left: .5in; mso-add-space: auto; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-pagination: none; tab-stops: 28.0pt 56.0pt 84.0pt 112.0pt 140.0pt 168.0pt 196.0pt 224.0pt 3.5in 280.0pt 308.0pt 336.0pt; text-align: justify; text-indent: -.25in;"><span style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK12;"><span style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK11;"><span style="font-family: Symbol; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Symbol; mso-fareast-font-family: Symbol;"><span style="mso-list: Ignore;"> <span style="font: 7.0pt "Times New Roman";"> </span></span></span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">The first type is <span style="mso-bidi-font-weight: bold;">“support” groups</span> that predominantly assist the flow of arms and fighters into SYRIA. </span></span></span></div><div class="MsoNormalCxSpMiddle" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in; mso-add-space: auto; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-pagination: none; tab-stops: 28.0pt 56.0pt 84.0pt 112.0pt 140.0pt 168.0pt 196.0pt 224.0pt 3.5in 280.0pt 308.0pt 336.0pt; text-align: justify;"><br /></div><div class="MsoNormalCxSpMiddle" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in; margin-left: .5in; mso-add-space: auto; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-pagination: none; tab-stops: 28.0pt 56.0pt 84.0pt 112.0pt 140.0pt 168.0pt 196.0pt 224.0pt 3.5in 280.0pt 308.0pt 336.0pt; text-align: justify; text-indent: -.25in;"><span style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK12;"><span style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK11;"><span style="font-family: Symbol; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Symbol; mso-fareast-font-family: Symbol;"><span style="mso-list: Ignore;"> <span style="font: 7.0pt "Times New Roman";"> </span></span></span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">The second are <span style="mso-bidi-font-weight: bold;">“guerilla” groups</span> that carry out small scale but regular attacks on security forces. </span></span></span></div><div class="MsoNormalCxSpMiddle" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in; mso-add-space: auto; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-pagination: none; tab-stops: 28.0pt 56.0pt 84.0pt 112.0pt 140.0pt 168.0pt 196.0pt 224.0pt 3.5in 280.0pt 308.0pt 336.0pt; text-align: justify;"><br /></div><div class="MsoNormalCxSpMiddle" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in; margin-left: .5in; mso-add-space: auto; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-pagination: none; tab-stops: 28.0pt 56.0pt 84.0pt 112.0pt 140.0pt 168.0pt 196.0pt 224.0pt 3.5in 280.0pt 308.0pt 336.0pt; text-align: justify; text-indent: -.25in;"><span style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK12;"><span style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK11;"><span style="font-family: Symbol; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Symbol; mso-fareast-font-family: Symbol;"><span style="mso-list: Ignore;"> <span style="font: 7.0pt "Times New Roman";"> </span></span></span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">The third are “<span style="mso-bidi-font-weight: bold;">terror” groups</span> that carry out high profile bombings outside the usual areas of conflict. Through this distinction, it quickly becomes evident that the “terror” groups have had the most significant contribution to the conflict in SYRIA. </span></span></span></div><div class="MsoNormalCxSpMiddle" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in; mso-add-space: auto; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; text-align: justify;"><br /></div><div class="MsoNormalCxSpMiddle" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in; mso-add-space: auto; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; text-align: justify;"><span style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK12;"><span style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK11;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">These groups have carried out at least twelve high profile attacks since January 2012, including suicide car bombings in Damascus, Aleppo, and Idlib. In addition to helping escalate the violence in SYRIA, the attacks caused a psychological blow to the SYRIAN regime by highlighting some weaknesses of the SYRIAN security apparatus. Primarily these attacks were carried out by two SYRIAN Salafist groups, <span style="mso-bidi-font-style: italic; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold;">Jabhat al-Nusra</span><i style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal;"><span style="mso-bidi-font-weight: bold;"> </span></i>and its Idlib based offshoot, <span style="mso-bidi-font-style: italic; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold;">Kata’ib Ahrar al-Sham</span><i style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal;">, </i>these “terror” groups have been inspired and assisted by <span style="mso-bidi-font-style: italic;">al-Qaeda in IRAQ</span> to become two of the most prominent SYRIAN groups currently operating in the conflict. </span></span></span></div><div class="MsoNormalCxSpMiddle" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in; mso-add-space: auto; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; text-align: justify;"><br /></div><div class="MsoNormalCxSpMiddle" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in; mso-add-space: auto; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; text-align: justify;"><span style="color: #cc0000;"><span style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK12;"><span style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK11;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">SALAFIST INSURGENCE FROM IRAQ, JORDAN, EGYPT, AND MOST RECENTLY KUWAIT</span></b></span></span><span style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK12;"><span style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK11;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">.</span></span></span></span></div><div class="MsoNormalCxSpMiddle" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in; mso-add-space: auto; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; text-align: justify;"><br /></div><div class="MsoNormalCxSpMiddle" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in; mso-add-space: auto; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; text-align: justify;"><span style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK12;"><span style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK11;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">Despite this, “terror” groups in SYRIA do not receive widespread support within SYRIA and have not attempted to forge links with the FSA. Nonetheless, outside SYRIA these groups have gained wide support, including receiving small numbers of foreign Salafist fighters from IRAQ, JORDAN, EGYPT, and most recently KUWAIT. </span></span></span><br /><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgMIDh7cBwgtZSgG5rk6JoQtI_rHafvZz0ZO27AeT73zRZDsZ-uGWFF2swaSn9GKZdAAdeAXfWi2a2PYIhX_gZVHSp8YrneAOMA9unSK0JnQsSUm-YSfYtdpxrM1ZbH8Z-3iABImrapIxI-/s1600/lebanon_jordan_syr.gif" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgMIDh7cBwgtZSgG5rk6JoQtI_rHafvZz0ZO27AeT73zRZDsZ-uGWFF2swaSn9GKZdAAdeAXfWi2a2PYIhX_gZVHSp8YrneAOMA9unSK0JnQsSUm-YSfYtdpxrM1ZbH8Z-3iABImrapIxI-/s1600/lebanon_jordan_syr.gif" /></a></div></div><div class="MsoNormalCxSpMiddle" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in; mso-add-space: auto; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; text-align: justify;"><span style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK12;"><span style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK11;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">This external support has also been extended to a number of “guerilla” groups operating in the SYRIAN conflict and is linked to the increased violence around Homs as well as a significant percent increase in improvised explosive device (IED) attacks against SYRIAN security forces since January 2012. Despite different ideologies, many of the SYRIAN and foreign groups in this category have forged loose ties with the FSA and are assisting them in their fight against the SYRIAN security apparatus, through the use of guerilla warfare tactics based on experience gained in other jihad arenas. Two examples of groups that work with the FSA are the SYRIAN group <span style="mso-bidi-font-style: italic;">Dhu al-Nurayn</span> and the LEBANESE based group <span style="mso-bidi-font-style: italic;">Fatah al-Islam</span>.</span></span></span></div><div class="MsoNormalCxSpMiddle" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in; mso-add-space: auto; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; text-align: justify;"><br /></div><div class="MsoNormalCxSpMiddle" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in; mso-add-space: auto; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; text-align: justify;"><span style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK12;"><span style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK11;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">The “support” groups, which constitute the third category, remain a key link in supplying arms and fighters into SYRIA along preexisting smuggling routes, mainly from IRAQ and LEBANON. These groups, though remaining at the sidelines, are important in helping feed the conflict in SYRIA and have indicated they may join the conflict at a later date. One example is the group called “The Free Army of IRAQIS.”</span></span></span><br /><br /></div><div class="MsoNormalCxSpMiddle" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in; mso-add-space: auto; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; text-align: justify;"><br /></div><div class="MsoNormalCxSpMiddle" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in; mso-add-space: auto; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; text-align: justify;"><span style="color: #cc0000;"><span style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK12;"><span style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK11;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">SUNNI GROUPS ON THE DOORSTEP TO SYRIA CHALLENGES HIZBOLLAH’S PREVIOUSLY UNRIVALED DOMINANCE</span></b></span></span></span></div><div class="MsoNormalCxSpMiddle" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in; mso-add-space: auto; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-pagination: none; tab-stops: 28.0pt 56.0pt 84.0pt 112.0pt 140.0pt 168.0pt 196.0pt 224.0pt 3.5in 280.0pt 308.0pt 336.0pt; text-align: justify;"><br /></div><div class="MsoNormalCxSpMiddle" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in; mso-add-space: auto; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-pagination: none; tab-stops: 28.0pt 56.0pt 84.0pt 112.0pt 140.0pt 168.0pt 196.0pt 224.0pt 3.5in 280.0pt 308.0pt 336.0pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK12;"><span style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK11;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">With the pressure of the internal conflict already straining the current SYRIAN government’s authority over the country, these radical Islamic groups </span></span></span><span style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK12;"><span style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK11;"><span lang="EN-GB" style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-GB; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">only add to this pressure.</span></span></span><span style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK12;"><span style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK11;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";"> With the small size of these groups, the unpredictability of their attacks, and their increasing capability in fomenting unrest, it makes it difficult for SYRIAN security forces to effectively combat these groups as well as the FSA. In the long term, this prolonged pressure helps continue to weaken the SYRIAN government. For the main SYRIAN opposition, the radical Islamic elements are currently a necessary but problematic partner in its fight against the SYRIAN government: By keeping these radical Islamic groups at arm's length, making alliances with some, and denouncing others (especially <span style="mso-bidi-font-style: italic;">al-Qaeda</span>), they are hoping to utilize these groups' fighting power without damaging their credibility in the eyes of the SYRIAN people and the international community. </span></span></span></div><div class="MsoNormalCxSpMiddle" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in; mso-add-space: auto; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-pagination: none; tab-stops: 28.0pt 56.0pt 84.0pt 112.0pt 140.0pt 168.0pt 196.0pt 224.0pt 3.5in 280.0pt 308.0pt 336.0pt; text-align: justify;"><br /></div><div class="MsoNormalCxSpMiddle" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in; mso-add-space: auto; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-pagination: none; tab-stops: 28.0pt 56.0pt 84.0pt 112.0pt 140.0pt 168.0pt 196.0pt 224.0pt 3.5in 280.0pt 308.0pt 336.0pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK12;"><span style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK11;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">Yet in the long term, with these radical Islamic groups gaining more support and competence, this uneasy relationship may waver and the opposition, especially the FSA, may find it faces an additional challenge to its rise to power in SYRIA. The ability of any future SYRIAN government to control the impact of these radical Islamic groups is a key question, as a possible repeat of events in IRAQ after the AMERICAN-led invasion of 2003 demonstrated. In the IRAQI case, radical Islamic elements took advantage of the power vacuum left from the disintegration of the security apparatus and established a strong presence there that is still felt today. </span></span></span></div><div class="MsoNormalCxSpMiddle" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in; mso-add-space: auto; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-pagination: none; tab-stops: 28.0pt 56.0pt 84.0pt 112.0pt 140.0pt 168.0pt 196.0pt 224.0pt 3.5in 280.0pt 308.0pt 336.0pt; text-align: justify;"><br /></div><div class="MsoNormalCxSpMiddle" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in; mso-add-space: auto; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-pagination: none; tab-stops: 28.0pt 56.0pt 84.0pt 112.0pt 140.0pt 168.0pt 196.0pt 224.0pt 3.5in 280.0pt 308.0pt 336.0pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK12;"><span style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK11;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">Outside SYRIA, radical Islamic elements in SYRIA could, in the long term, affect two key regional actors: Hizbollah and ISRAEL. With the conflict already disrupting, Hizbollah’s vital long term support from SYRIA and IRAN, the emergence of openly hostile radical Sunni groups on its doorstep in SYRIA challenges Hizbollah’s previously unrivaled dominance. </span></span></span><br /><br /><span style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK12;"><span style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK11;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">For ISRAEL, the conflict in SYRIA has largely been beneficial, helping destabilize SYRIA’S government, and by extension, two of its key allies, IRAN and Hizbollah. However, with the emergence of several radical Islamic groups in SYRIA strongly hostile towards ISRAEL, ISRAEL’S northern border may begin to see attacks from these groups in the future. With the situation in SYRIA growing more sectarian and chaotic, the radical Islamic groups in SYRIA are sure to profit, but to what extent is an open question. </span></span></span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";"></span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto; mso-margin-top-alt: auto;"><br /></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto; mso-margin-top-alt: auto;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">By Jonathan Robinson via INSS. </span></div> LEBANON & SYRIA Normal 0 false false false EN-US X-NONE X-NONE MicrosoftInternetExplorer4 … Read more »