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November 07, 2013 - THE PHILIPPINES - Super Typhoon Haiyan, one of the most intense typhoons in recent history, is bearing down on The Philippines.

The most powerful tropical cyclone of 2013 anywhere on Earth is raging toward the Philippines.


Latest Satellite Image.

Forecast Path.

This water vapor image taken 7pm EST on Wednesday, November 6, 2013 illustrates the large size of Super
Typhoon Haiyan. (Source: Dundee Satellite Receiving Station, http://www.sat.dundee.ac.uk)

As of early Thursday afternoon (U.S. time), Super Typhoon Haiyan had top sustained winds near 195 mph (equivalent to a Category 5 hurricane), according to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center. A typhoon is considered a super typhoon when maximum wind speeds exceed 150 mph.

The University of Wisconsin estimated the typhoon's minimum pressure at 904.5 millibars Thursday morning. If such a storm were in the Atlantic basin it would be among the strongest on record, but the Western Pacific basin is less of a stranger to typhoons of this intensity.

Super Typhoon Haiyan moved past the Republic of Palau on Thursday local time. Winds gusted as high as 77 mph at the National Weather Service office in Palau early Thursday morning.


WATCH:  Super Typhoon Haiyan heading towards the Philippines.


 


Haiyan will move into the central Philippines as a super typhoon early on Friday, local time (Thursday night, U.S. time). The Philippine weather agency, PAGASA, has named the approaching typhoon Yolanda using its own separate naming list.

Haiyan will be accompanied by torrential rainfall, damaging winds and life-threatening storm surge, particularly in low-lying areas of onshore flow. The heavy rainfall will likely cause flooding and raise the risk of mudslides.


This infrared satellite image of Super Typhoon Haiyan taken on November 6, 2013 shows extremely cold
cloud tops associated with the typhoon's eyewall (the pink and purple colors correspond with -90 degree
Celsius temperatures). (Courtesy: Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies)

This visible satellite imagery of Super Typhoon Haiyan taken on November 6, 2013 shows the 'stadium effect',
where the clouds around the storm's eyewall slope dramatically up and out. Courtesy: Cooperative
Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies)

This visible satellite imagery of Super Typhoon Haiyan taken on November 6, 2013 illustrates the cyclone's
large circulation field. (Courtesy: Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies)

Fishermen repair their outriggers on the shore of Manila Bay as Typhoon Haiyan approached on
November 7, 2013. (JAY DIRECTO/AFP/Getty Images)


Some 10 million people who live on the central Philippine islands are most at risk of a direct strike from Haiyan.

The core of Haiyan is forecast to stay south of the Philippine capital of Manila, however significant rain and wind impacts are still expected Friday night or early Saturday local time (Friday, U.S. time).

Haiyan is then expected to sweep quickly into Vietnam by Sunday, possibly still as a strong typhoon.

Philippine Typhoon History

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center, the Philippines are hit by six or seven tropical cyclones in an average year.

In October, Typhoon Nari flooded farmlands and destroyed thousands of homes north of Manila.

Heavy rainbands on the southern edge of Typhoon Trami flooded Manila in August, claiming at least 18 lives and chasing over one quarter million from their homes. This occurred just over a week after Typhoon Utor slammed into the northern Philippines.

Just last week, the northern Philippines were hit by Typhoon Krosa.


WATCH:  Western Pacific Update - Super Typhoon Haiyan.





In December 2012, Super Typhoon Bopha raked the southernmost Philippine island of Mindanao, causing over 1,000 deaths, mostly from flash flooding and landslides. Bopha was the costliest storm to ever impact the Philippines.

Strong typhoons affecting the Philippines as far south as Haiyan are uncommon, according to Hurricane Specialist Michael Lowry. Including Bopha, only nine typhoons on record have moved over the Philippines this far south at or above the intensity currently forecast for Haiyan. Typhoon Mike in November of 1990 took a track similar to the forecast for Haiyan and decimated the Visayas, killing an estimated 700.

Haiyan is the Chinese word for petrel, a type of bird that lives over the open sea and returns to land only for breeding. Haiyan is the 28th named storm of the 2013 Western Pacific typhoon season. - TWC.



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Thursday, November 7, 2013

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