10-Year Treasury Yield vs. Nominal GDP Growth

<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhtZyfU8nwMdlVIOuAj3GRMX-PLqx6bjqtaiL2vffzBLfilaE9gUB9boYnldYnFZPxRK_3Ea9QDZeqzw2Gm-IndLViw5Mjl-QAIjmAL1V2LjuLiXXZJYhkiojGBuEFSAM4HDl1PPCZj-wA/s1600/10-Year+Treasury+vs.+Nominal+GDP+Growth.jpg" imageanchor="1"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhtZyfU8nwMdlVIOuAj3GRMX-PLqx6bjqtaiL2vffzBLfilaE9gUB9boYnldYnFZPxRK_3Ea9QDZeqzw2Gm-IndLViw5Mjl-QAIjmAL1V2LjuLiXXZJYhkiojGBuEFSAM4HDl1PPCZj-wA/s320/10-Year+Treasury+vs.+Nominal+GDP+Growth.jpg" /></a><br /><span style="font-size: x-small;">Click to enlarge.</span><br /><br />As seen in the chart, nominal GDP took a giant leap to the left during the Great Recession. There was a dead cat bounce to the right (as the dotcom bust left the 10 year moving average) but it is now being pulled to the left yet again. Where it stops nobody knows.<br /><br />If the long-term trend does continue (down and to the left in the chart), then we'll be stuck in ZIRP till the cows come home (just like Japan), and that's if we're lucky. So all this talk of Fed tapering or not tapering is nearly meaningless to me. I refuse to have the bulk of my retirement nest egg parked in short-term savings patiently waiting for the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ben_Bernanke">Lord of Cattle</a> to bless me with higher interest rates. That bovine deity is much more likely to milk short-term savers for all <a href="http://forum.wordreference.com/showthread.php?t=2198706">their worth</a>.<br /><br /><a href="http://www.phrases.org.uk/meanings/382900.html">The Phrase Finder: Till the cows come home</a><br /><div style="color: #666666;"><br /></div><div style="color: #666666;"><i>Cows are notoriously languid creatures and make their way home at their own unhurried pace.</i></div><br />They'll get home eventually though. They've got to be here once the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cow_tipping">cow tipping</a> point is reached. I strongly suspect that is a very long time from now, perhaps even long after I'm dead and <strike>buried</strike> cremated. It's all in the timing. Rome did not fall in a day.<br /><br />As a side note, I went with "their worth" over "they're worth". Both are apparently technically correct (perhaps because worth can be a noun or an adjective). Maybe. Even <a href="http://www.quickanddirtytips.com/education/grammar/milk-it-all-its-worth-or-milk-it-all-its-worth">Grammar Girl isn't sure.</a><br /><br />Thief #1: How much should we milk from it?<br />Thief #2: We should milk it for all it's worth.<br />Thief #1: What if it keeps its wealth in a bag? It's its worth.<br />Thief #2: For what it's worth, then we should milk it for all its worth!<br /><br />Dizzying. Who thought this frickin' language up, anyway? <br /><br /><b>November 13, 2013</b><br /><a href="http://www.heraldsun.com.au/business/in-the-black/takeover-bids-milk-factory-for-all-it-is-worth/story-fni0d787-1226759350396">Takeover bids milk factory for all it is worth</a><br /><br /><div style="color: #666666;"><i>THERE is a bargain in the Australian dairy sector, but it is no longer Warrnambool Cheese & Butter Factory.</i></div><br />Don't even get me started again! The milk factory's worth? Its worth?<br /><br />This is not investment advice. Don't look to me for grammar advice either for that matter. I pretty much only use the math side of my brain at best. I'll end a sentence with a preposition and create sentences with single adverbs if the mood suits me. <u>That's what moods are for. Seriously.</u> ;)<br /><br /><b>Source Data:</b><br /><a href="http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/graph/?g=pBQ">St. Louis Fed: Custom Chart</a>

10-Year Treasury Yield vs. Nominal GDP Growth

Click to enlarge. As seen in the chart, nominal GDP took a giant leap to the left during the Great Recession. There was a dead cat bounce to...

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