Argentine government may gain from World Bank default

<br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhe2WZDOxAGhyphenhyphenLf7V9p3CZX6W-xD1c6V06jIViz_Oa02SzWw8lq_JAX2UyXt8kNN7Yua84e43TlNTu4QTPPQJvgRIycPisTC7g3fO9YzB3GgLCqTKVEw5njnLebg9JNh1ZV0sswwh40Da1L/s1600/partners_ifi.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="190" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhe2WZDOxAGhyphenhyphenLf7V9p3CZX6W-xD1c6V06jIViz_Oa02SzWw8lq_JAX2UyXt8kNN7Yua84e43TlNTu4QTPPQJvgRIycPisTC7g3fO9YzB3GgLCqTKVEw5njnLebg9JNh1ZV0sswwh40Da1L/s320/partners_ifi.jpg" width="320" /></a></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0.0001pt; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0.0001pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;"><b><span style="font-size: x-large;">International Financial Institutions and their blow to global economy</span></b> </span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0.0001pt; text-align: justify;"><br /></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0.0001pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: large;">It is now little over 10 years since Argentina defaulted on its debt to the WORLD BANK. Since the default Argentina experienced an astonishing economic recovery and now can look upon the EU, where some of the member states face similar situations as did Argentina 10 years ago. I have expressed my views on this subject numerous times on this block and will not reiterate those views. The reason I once again raise the subject is because I found an interesting article written in 2002 on Odious Debts website which does confirm my thesis on subject matter. I have added my comments below some of the paragraphs. The controversial actions and policies of the IMF and other International Financial Institutions has not changed the slightest, they are applying these devastating tactics today as much as they did 10 years ago!! </span></div><div style="text-align: justify;"></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0.0001pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="color: blue; line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0.0001pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: large;">In November 2002 Interpress Service published an article written by Emad Mekay which reads as follows:</span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0.0001pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0.0001pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: large;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">Interpress Service</span></b></span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: large;">   November 22/2002 </span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0.0001pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="color: blue; line-height: normal; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: large;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">Argentine government may gain from World Bank default</span></b></span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: large;">   </span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: large;">by Emad Mekay</span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: large;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEieMgMBycwIpQLKX0cBhr3oowVUlr_YQilv3zF0mzvs07N9eG9sxwaLmDMZjh-JsyQfuVMt30Ej2B8gSVrBQJz3wc9h1STs2g9UP-PCjo4NWx48inf8yaobQigEJAjFv91sApO4b0uAlq64/s1600/world_bank2112111111-640x480.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="240" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEieMgMBycwIpQLKX0cBhr3oowVUlr_YQilv3zF0mzvs07N9eG9sxwaLmDMZjh-JsyQfuVMt30Ej2B8gSVrBQJz3wc9h1STs2g9UP-PCjo4NWx48inf8yaobQigEJAjFv91sApO4b0uAlq64/s320/world_bank2112111111-640x480.jpg" width="320" /></a></span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0.0001pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: large;">Argentina's decision to default on its debt to the World Bank could hurt the country's poor but might also <u>prove beneficial in the long run</u>, some analysts here say. </span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: large;">Thursday's decision could also harm the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund (IMF), both interested in maintaining their positions and reputations as superior patrons of the world economy. </span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="color: blue; line-height: normal; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: large;"><b><i><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">The IMF and its doctrine stirred Argentina’s economy into default in the first place, as it did to numerous other countries which were exposed to IMF policies.</span></i></b></span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: large;">Argentina defaulted Thursday on its $ 805-million debt to the Bank, paying only a token amount of $ 79.2 million, prompting questions on the future of the cash-strapped Argentine economy and its relationship with the Bank and the Fund. </span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="color: blue; line-height: normal; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: large;"><b><i><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">By breaking its ties with the IMF and the World Bank, Argentina managed to resurrect itself from the deathblow obtained from the two organizations. </span></i></b></span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: large;">On Friday, Argentina blamed the default on savage policy recommendations by the IMF, which require the government to tighten its budget and anti-inflation measures before it can strike a deal for emergency funds. But Argentina may be already benefiting from the default decision, since it will have more cash on hand for social and health programs, much needed as the economy recovers painfully slowly. </span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="color: blue; line-height: normal; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: large;"><b><i><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">Cash for social and health programs to recover the economy is something the IMF and the Word Bank oppose vehemently because it lessens their influence and profit. The first austerity measures the IMF and World Bank ( who are technically speaking one entity) imposed on Greece and Italy were cuts in healthcare, education and social programs, thus leading the two nations into the same dilemma as Argentina faced 10 years ago.</span></i></b></span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: large;">"In the long term, and for other countries, the impact could be very positive," said Soren Ambrose, of the Washington-based 50 Years Is Enough network. </span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: large;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">"This unique challenge to the power of the World Bank and IMF to dictate both macroeconomic policy and debt repayment terms could change the perception of their infallibility (or infinite power), he added. </span></b></span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: large;">Ambrose says that would give governments and civil society forces more room to plan, and to begin to whittle away at the overwhelming power wielded by the IMF, the Bank and other international financial institutions (IFIs), which has caused so much unnecessary poverty, deaths and suffering over the past few decades. </span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: large;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">By defaulting to the Bank, Buenos Aires may also be sending a message that it may no longer feel forced to accept the IFIs' programs, and that there are other alternatives, he added</span></b></span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: large;">. </span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="color: blue; line-height: normal; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: large;"><b><i><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">Argentina has proved that there are other alternatives then IFIs programs and thus managed to recover its shattered economy without IFI “advises”, the results of which we are currently facing in Europe and the USA.</span></i></b></span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: large;">In a report distributed electronically, the Brussels-based anti-debt group Eurodad argues that the World Bank might be equally harmed by the high-profile default, which could call into question the Bank's own creditworthiness and reputation. Bond-rating agencies could downgrade the ratings of the Bank's bonds, depriving the institution of its AAA rating, which allows the Bank to sell bonds to institutional investors as "blue chip" investments. </span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="color: blue; line-height: normal; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: large;"><b><i><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">Well that that did not happen because as it turned out the USA and the EU are waging a financial war and thus US rating agencies will hardly attack its own financial entities, which in a way the Word Bank is. See <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Bank">http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Bank</a></span></i></b></span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: large;"><i><span style="color: #ffc000; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";"><span style="color: #ffc000;"> </span> </span></i></span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: large;">If the contagion pushes other countries in the region into making similar defaults or refusals to deal on the IFIs' terms, the trend could spread, says Eurodad. </span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: large;">Already one of the biggest U.S. pension funds, TIAA-CREF (for retired teachers) has sold all its World Bank bonds, for what it called economic reasons.</span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: large;">But World Bank officials Friday vehemently denied that they would be hurt by the default. "Our capital is strong," said Chris Neal of the Bank's external relations arm. </span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: large;">After Thursday's default, Standard and Poor's Ratings Services said that it was affirming its credit ratings and outlook on the World Bank at 'AAA/Stable', along with those of other multilateral lending institutions with large credit exposures to the Argentina. </span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: large;">Eurodad also believes that if a country the size of Argentina defaulted, then others could follow. The South American nation is the fourth largest debtor of the Bank after China, Indonesia and Mexico and it is number one in terms of per-capita income. </span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: large;">It also differs substantially from other states to have already defaulted on World Bank debt - including Somalia, Iraq and Zimbabwe - in that it is part of the Western world and has considerable links with Northern institutions. The default could eat away at their credibility also, according to Eurodad. </span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: large;">Argentina owes $ 8.5 billion to another Washington-based IFI, the Inter-American Development Bank (IDB). </span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: large;">If Argentina were to default on that loan, the IDB risks losing its triple-A rating, which could increase the cost of borrowing from the institution for other Latin American countries. </span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="color: blue; line-height: normal; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: large;"><b><i><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">It is now 10 years later, and Argentina still has not paid the IDB without facing serious consequences. Argentina always expressed its willingness to pay its debt with the IDB and Paris Club if the conditions are fair and reasonable, but not under vulcher finance terms.</span></i></b></span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: large;">Regardless of the potential damage to the IFIs from the defaults, Argentina still faces many hurdles to get its economy back in shape and rescue its population from internecine poverty. </span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="color: blue; line-height: normal; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: large;"><b><i><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">We write 2012 and Argentinean economy is growing at rapid pace and poverty has been reduced significantly, despite being expelled from the international financial system, or as cynics might argue, because of being expelled Argentina managed showcase economic growth.</span></i></b></span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: large;">The main obstacle, many say, is reaching a deal with the IMF, whose job is to bail out countries in fiscal trouble. The Fund has not reached out to Argentina since the country defaulted on its $ 140-billion debt last December, owed in part to private lenders. </span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: large;">The Fund is worried that plans put forward by President Eduardo Duhalde do not have enough political support at home. The Bank has backed IMF demands for a viable economic plan that has such support. </span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: large;">"Argentina needs to get an economic plan that has all of the political actors behind it and support first from Argentine's political class and then from the international community," said Neal of the Bank. </span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: large;">Among the sticking points in the talks is the IMF's request that Argentina increase the price of privatized public services. The IMF asked for a 30 percent increase while Argentinean officials offered 10 percent. The Fund also wants a tax increase but the government refused. </span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="color: blue; line-height: normal; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: large;"><b><i><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">Applying austerity on common citizen by requesting price hikes on privatized public services leads to stagnating growth. Since the European Union applied its austerity measures in 2011, as dictated by the IMF, its economy stagnated even more. “The IMF's  recipe for default.”</span></i></b></span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: large;">The Fund also wants the country to immediately liberalize its exchange market, while leaders want a gradual move. </span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: large;"><a href="http://www.odiousdebts.org/">http://www.odiousdebts.org</a></span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; text-align: justify;"><br /></div>

Argentine government may gain from World Bank default

International Financial Institutions and their blow to global economy It is now little over 10 years since Argentina defaulted on its debt ...

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